Posts Tagged ‘Mobile’

Square will Change the Retail Technology Landscape

Friday, December 4th, 2009

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In my previous blog post, I talked about how mobile will affect retail. One of my 6 implications for retail was the need to prepare for the coming of consumer devices, like the iPhone, to the enterprise.

“4. Ready or not, devices like the iPhone are coming to the retail enterprise. People are using them in their daily lives and will see the value of using them at work. Security and other concerns need to be addressed, but departments and business units will push retail CIO’s to incorporate these tools sooner rather than later.”

Square is a good example of what I mean.  Square is a new company led by Twitter co-founder Jack Dorsey.  I’m not sure if Square is the next big thing; there is of course some skepticism out there.   I do believe that over time, companies like Square will fundamentally change the landscape for payment and mobile device providers in the retail and restaurant space.

According to Eliot Van Buskirk’s article on the Wired website, the Square business model looks like merchant banking and additional, related services like loyalty and e-receipts for the low end of the market – single store operators and individuals selling via Craigslist.  Square will not put a dent in Verifone’s business soon.  Square’s power is in demonstrating how to take a consumer device and use it to make payment services and mobile retail applications accessible at a price point that is 80% lower than current solutions.

Impact on the Customer Experience

Square has the potential to enable significant improvements in the customer experience for both retailers and restaurant companies.   With something like Square, retailers and restaurant operators can facilitate an improved customer experience at a much lower price point.  For example, by allowing payment at the table, the payment process at a restaurant is easier and faster (valuable to both the customer and the restaurateur).

No Shortage of Challenges

There are plenty of issues, not the least of which are potential hacking of the device to steal credit card information, general security of the consumer device in a wireless environment, remote administration concerns and the lack of protection against viruses and other malevolent software.

Conclusion

Who knows if Square will be the winner, but the team and the funding behind it represent the opening shot in a battle with incumbents which will spur innovation to the benefit of retailers, restaurant companies and the customer experience.

Mobile Internet and Retail – Part Two

Thursday, December 3rd, 2009

Pretty young woman using her mobile at a clothes storeThis is part two of a blog post regarding Mary Meeker’s 2009 Web 2.0 presentation and implications for retailers.  For me, there are six key takeaways:

  1. Your customers will increasingly carry massive computing power and, via the cloud, access to any information and services they want.  You need to make them value yours vs. some third party price comparison site.   Build and deploy valuable applications that support the customer through the buying cycle from search, to store, to purchase.
  2. Customers will expect Wi-Fi service at every retail location.  I know there are issues.  Provide it anyway.
  3. Location, location, location.  Not yours; your customers.  Knowing the customers location will enable entirely new ways of communicating and fostering a relationship with them.   Be careful.   You need to offer value for this information.   If you use this information to spam them, the opportunity for conversation will be lost for a very long time.
  4. Ready or not, devices like the iPhone are coming to the retail enterprise.  People are using them in their daily lives and will see the value of using them at work.  Security and other concerns need to be addressed, but departments and business units will push retail CIO’s to incorporate these tools sooner rather than later.
  5. The information kiosk is dead.  The customer is carrying the next generation kiosk with them.  Make this part of your mobile commerce strategy.
  6. As in Japan, mobile commerce will represent the fastest growing channel for multi-channel retailers.  I know; we’ve been talking about mobile commerce for a decade.  The iPhone changed everything.  If you don’t have a mobile commerce strategy.  You need to develop one – now.

Mobile Internet and Retail – Part 1

Sunday, November 29th, 2009

Last month, I wrote a post summarizing Mary Meeker’s recent presentation at Web 2.0.   I was recently thinking more about the implications to retailers.  As a recap, below are some key facts and comments by Meeker.

From the wireless arena:

  • GPS – 421MM GPS Chips were sold in 2008(e) representing 57% annual growth.  Cell phones and PDAs were 60% of shipments.
  • 3G – 490MM global users.  Grew at a 45% annual rate in Q2 09.  3G users are 12% of the mobile user population forecasted to grow to 44% by 2013.
  • Wi-Fi – 319MM chipsets were sold in 2008E.
  • AT&T’s mobile data traffic is up 50X in the past three years – a 4,932% increase!
  • Wi-Fi is still growing considerably.  There are currently 35MM hotspots.  Interestingly, 42% of iPhone usage happens on Wi-Fi networks.
  • Mary predicts 3G usage will hit an inflection point in 2010 (>20% usage).
  • Mary believes that location-based services are key to the mobile internet ’secret sauce’.

Facebook and Apple are driving independent but overlapping innovations in social networking and mobile platforms:

  • Facebook has 390MM users representing 153% annual growth.  There are 350,000 apps, and 500MM downloads.  People are spending 6B minutes on Facebook each day!  YouTube and Twitter are also significant and growing.
  • Apple iPhone/iPod Touch has 57MM users, representing 166% annual growth, 100K apps and 2B downloads.
  • Apple unshackled mobile developers from Carrier “walled gardens”.  The iPhone/iTouch represent the fastest hardware user growth in consumer technology history.

Japan is leading the way in the mobile space.  If you look at the 2008 world-wide mobile internet revenue mix, it resembles Japan in 2000.  If you look at Japan today as a proxy for where the rest of the world is headed, you see slight growth in mobile advertising revenue, but greater market share growth in mobile paid services (travel booking, mobile banking) and mobile online commerce (retail sales of physical goods and digital goods such as ringtones, wallpaper) and a lower percentage of revenue coming from mobile data access.   In Japan, mobile is currently running around 18% of total eCommerce revenue.

So, what does this mean for retailers?  Stay tuned for the next post on Wednesday…

iPod Point-of-Sale

Tuesday, November 3rd, 2009

easypay-091103-4According to a report today on AppleInsider, it appears that Apple has created its own iPod based point-of-sale software and hardware.  The hardware appears hardened and designed for retail.  It also appears this device could be sold for significantly less than traditional handheld retail devices.  I realize ‘less expensive’ is not the typical pricing model for Apple, but if they could make this device available more as an enhanced iPod, they could have tens of thousands of these in use at retail and restaurant chains in two years.  I realize also that this is chump change and doesn’t drive other revenue streams directly (like iTunes), however this gets them into the retail stores – a space I would argue is largely dominated by Microsoft – and if leveraged correctly by Apple, could open the retail solutions marketplace to them over the next decade.

On the software side, there are still challenges because of the more closed nature of the app store, but this is certainly interesting if Apple decides to market the hardened device outside its own retail stores.

Lots of conjecture here, but this is worth watching.  For more info, see the full article by Gary Allen of ifoAppleStore for AppleInsider.

Mary Meeker’s Web 2.0 Presentation

Wednesday, October 21st, 2009

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I always look forward to Mary’s presentation at Web 2.0. Mobile is clearly about to burst thanks to the iPhone. This reminds me of the shifts from mainframe to client server and client server to web.

Key insights from the presentation:

Economy (we are not out of the woods yet)

Good news

  • VIX has settled down into normal territory.
  • S&P 500 positive earnings estimate revisions are rising.
  • Technology spending seems to have bottomed.
  • Retail sales and e-commerce growth seem to have bottomed.
  • Manufacturing (based on PMI) is near normal.

Not so good news

  • Borrowing costs are still relatively high.
  • Consumer confidence is still well below normal.
  • Manufacturing capacity utilization is very low implying weak demand.
  • New home sales are well below normal.
  • Credit card delinquency rates are well above normal and rising.
  • Residential mortgage defaults are at an all time high and rising.
  • Commercial mortgage defaults are rising.
  • Unemployment is high and rising (Mary points out that unemployment peaking is key for sustainable recovery).
  • Debt levels are at historically high levels and rising.
  • US income statement – expenses exceed revenue and expenses are growing rapidly.  13T debt = $110K per household – 2x median annual income.

Technology

  • Mobile Internet is and will be bigger than most think.
  • Mobile is the next major computing cycle.
  • Mobile internet usage is growing faster than desktop usage did.
  • Mary predicts 3G usage will hit inflection point in 2010 (>20% usage).
  • Location-based services are key to the mobile internet ’secret sauce’.
  • The iPhone/iTouch represent the fastest hardware user growth in consumer technology history.
  • Next generation platforms (social networking + mobile) are driving massive change in communication and commerce.
  • Look to Japan for guidance on where mobile is headed in the US.
  • Mobile data traffic is growing at an enormous rate putting strain on networks.
  • Mobile-related share shifts will create/destroy material shareholder wealth.